The Russian Federation will try to disrupt Ukrainian sea exports by escalation in Transnistria
11.01.2024 - 11:40
An aggressor country may try to block Ukrainian exports by sea, using Transnistria to destabilize Moldova.
During 2023, more than 36 million tons of grain were shipped in the Romanian port of Constanta, which is a record figure. About 40% of all supplies were grain from Ukraine, Reuters reports.
Thus, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Ukrainian strikes on the assets of the Russian Black Sea Fleet forced the Russians to move some ships as far as possible from the temporarily occupied Sevastopol. This contributed to the effective use of the Ukrainian sea corridor.
However, the Kremlin may be giving instructions to entities in the self-proclaimed Transnistrian Republic to create conditions for a possible operation under a foreign flag. These attempts should be considered within the scope of Russia’s broader efforts to destabilize Moldova, Ukrinform writes with reference to ISW.
Earlier, the President of Moldova, Maya Sandu, stated that the Transnistrian conflict should be settled only peacefully. The opportunity for this can appear only in the event of Ukraine’s victory in the war started by Russia.
